{editor's note: The following originally appeared on the Rulebook Guru's blog. As a member of the Baseball Blogger's Alliance, he had been asked to participate in an MLB power ranking feature that was put up on MLB Blog Buzz. He is an umpire who, like me, loves baseball but is much more involved at the local and amateur level, and does not really follow the MLB in depth, so asked me to write this on his behalf.}
Let me start by saying that I hate committing predictions to writing, because I know how poor they always look in retrospect. One year ago, nobody predicted the Giants defeating the Rangers in the World Series. Luck and unforeseen circumstances have a very large and underestimated part of a team’s final record, and the best forecaster in the world can’t predict those factors. The only thing I’m certain of, is that I’ll have made some awful predictions. I’ve done this in the past, and without fail one of my top teams always ends up being a woeful disappointment that end up below .500, and one of the bottom teams will end up at least fighting for a playoff spot. Well, enough ado about nothing, on to the rankings…